2022 vs. 2026: Analyst Warns Bitcoin’s Recent Rally Could End in a Massive Crash
The primary cryptocurrency has staged a minor resurgence over the past week, with its valuation briefly rising to nearly $67,000 and now hovering around $65,000.
However, some analysts warn that this is unlikely to mark the start of a new bull run, envisioning a major collapse in the near future.
Same as 2022?
BTC, which plunged below $58,000 at the end of June, has rebounded by double digits in the following several weeks. And while bulls eagerly await the end of the bear market, the analyst who uses the X moniker BATMAN shut down that optimism.
They believe the cryptocurrency’s recent price increase mirrors the one from the autumn of 2022, which was followed by a massive crash to roughly $16,000.
“Side by side, this level looks concerning. It mirrors a similar bullish pump from 2022 that led to nothing afterward. History might not repeat itself, but it sure does rhyme,” they stated.
Of course, one should keep in mind that the drop below $20K at that time was driven largely by the meltdown of the once-prominent crypto exchange FTX: something that sent shockwaves through the entire digital asset sector.
For their part, X user Kabuki believes that the latest price setup represents a classic bull trap. They think BTC could dump to as low as $47,000 by August before starting a major uptrend move that could take it to over $200,000 by the start of next year.
Monitoring These Vital Levels
X user Ted also gave his two cents, noting the decline from the local high of almost $67K to the current $65K. At the same time, he emphasized the importance of the lower target, arguing that BTC could surge to $67,500-$68,000 if it stays above.
Meanwhile, Bitfinex’s analysts pointed to a key reaction zone between $67,900 and $68,300, where the short-term holder realized price and the second-quarter opening level have lined up. They believe a decisive breakout above or below that range could determine the asset’s direction in the near future.
It is important to note that the renewed institutional interest gives hope that Bitcoin hasn’t completely lost its momentum and might soon post fresh gains. According to SoSoValue, the inflows into spot BTC ETFs have surpassed outflows in the past seven consecutive days, something unseen since April.

The development shows that pension funds, hedge funds, and other conservative investors have increased their exposure to the asset, prompting BlackRock, Fidelity, and many other financial giants that have launched such products to purchase Bitcoin, thereby backing their shares. The situation was much different toward the end of June, when spot BTC ETFs saw a weekly outflow of around $1.8 billion.
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